Strategy · Options / GEX

GEX Regime

Dealer gamma, often called GEX, is how the big options market makers are positioned, and it pushes price toward or away from certain levels. It often decides whether a price level holds or gives way. This page shows that positioning live, stock by stock, and warns you as price gets close to a wall. Our own testing found that selling options, not buying them, was the only side worth taking. The ranked list of trades that acts on that finding is still being built.

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Powers the Dealer’s Hand strategy

The market mood, right now

Each card shows one stock or fund and the total dealer gamma behind it, in dollars. The plus or minus sign tells you almost everything. Positive means the dealers trade against each move, so prices tend to stay inside a range. Negative means they trade with each move, so prices tend to break through levels. The big index funds come first, then the names with the largest positioning.
Scope: our study measured QQQ only. The live reading is real for every name shown, but the hit rates further down this page were measured on QQQ and on nothing else.

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Wall proximity warning

The call wall is the price level above the market with the most dealer positioning, and the put wall is the same thing below the market. Think of them as a ceiling and a floor. This warning is the signal the strategy waits for. As price moves toward either wall, the warning steps up. The moment dealer gamma turns negative it switches itself off, because that is exactly when walls stop holding.

Waiting on the live feed…
The distance bands. Within 0.25% of a wall is the trigger zone, where the strategy may act. Within 1.0% is a heads-up: watch, but do nothing yet. Farther away than that, price is in the middle of the range and there is nothing to do. Every band is a setting you can change on the Desk. These are the defaults, not a rule carved in stone.

The 0DTE credit-spread ladder

0DTE means options that expire today. A credit spread is a pair of options you sell together so that you collect money up front and your worst-case loss is fixed in advance. When price reaches a wall while dealer gamma is positive, the Desk ranks the credit spreads you could sell against that wall: the option you sell sits at or just past the wall, a second option is bought as protection, and each is priced at the midpoint of the live buy and sell quotes.

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Fixed risk only. Every row on the ladder is a spread with a bought option for protection. We never sell an option without that protection. The most you can lose is the gap between the two strike prices minus the money collected up front, and that number is printed on the row before you do anything with it.

How often it actually fires

A wall only matters if price actually reaches it. Measured on QQQ, here is how often each wall was touched during the day, and when in the trading day it happened.

WallTouched, all daysTouched, negative gamma daysShare of touches in the first 30 minutes
Call wall52%60%73%
Put wall32%53%52%
Both walls held and price stayed trapped between them on 30.6% of positive-gamma days, compared with 23.1% of negative-gamma days.
Read the negative gamma column carefully. Both walls are reached more often when dealer gamma is negative, and negative gamma is exactly when this strategy refuses to sell. That means there are fewer real chances to sell than the headline numbers suggest, and fewer on the put wall than on the call wall. The call wall is by far the busier of the two. Most touches happen in the first half hour of trading; after 11am the wall trade is mostly gone for the day. All of this was measured on QQQ over the study period. It is not a promise about any other stock or any future week. One open question we cannot yet close: wall touches were detected from each day's high and low prices, and our own data notes say those raw high and low prints were unreliable until a later correction. We have not confirmed that these rates were recalculated after that fix, so treat them as a rough guide, not a settled fact.

How the strategy plays it

Dealer’s Hand checks the market mood first and only then looks for a trade. The dealer positioning decides whether you are allowed to sell at all.

1. Positive gamma: sell at the wall

Dealers soften every move, the range holds, and the wall acts like a fence. This is the only condition the strategy sells in. The tested result behind it is a put credit spread, a bet that price stays above the floor. Placing the sold option right at the wall, and the matching call-side version at the ceiling, are our own additions and have not been tested on their own.

2. Negative gamma: stand down

Dealers make every move bigger and walls stop holding. The strategy does not sell here. It says so plainly on the panel and shows no trade list at all, rather than a tempting one.

3. Wait for the wall, not the clock

No trade until price is actually inside the trigger band. Getting close is a heads-up, not a signal. Most days never trigger, and that is by design.

4. Fixed risk, priced at the midpoint

Both options go in as one order, priced at the midpoint of the live buy and sell quotes instead of paying the full asking price. The most you can lose is known before you enter and is capped by the protective option.

5. Every entry carries an exit

A profit target and a stop loss are placed with the trade, not after it. Nothing is left for you to watch by hand.

6. Flat before the close

Same-day (0DTE) options are closed out in the last half hour of trading. The strategy never holds into the closing bell hoping for a lucky finish.

7. A losing streak pauses it

If the strategy loses more trades in a row than its own historical average, it stops and waits. No approach works all the time. Use it while it works, pause when it stops, and let it come back.

8. Everything is adjustable

Distance bands, spread width, minimum money collected, position limit, trading hours. The defaults are sensible, and nothing is locked.

What our own testing found

This is not a textbook chapter on dealer positioning. These are the measured results from our own study, including the parts that argue against trading it.

The walls bounce price far more often than they break

During the trading day, price bounced off the nearest wall 67 to 93% of the times we tested. On positive-gamma days the put wall, the floor, held 93 to 95% of the time.

The sign sets the size of the day

When dealer gamma was strongly positive (above +$2bn), the next day moved about 0.6%. When it was negative, the next day moved about 1.0%, and moves bigger than 1.5% happened twice as often (23% against 47%). Comparing only the extremes, below −$4bn against above +$4bn, that gap grows to about 4×.

Buying the bounce lost money

The bounce is real but tiny, roughly 0.15 to 0.33%. That is not enough to cover the cost of buying an option. Every version we tested that bought options came out negative after real costs.

Selling was the side that survived

Fixed-risk put credit spreads on positive-gamma days: +12% return, 95% of trades won. That is the only structure with a measured number. The call-side version is untested, and so is placing the sold option right at the wall.

Read this before you weigh those numbers. The study ran on QQQ only: 189 trading days of real options data, September 2025 to June 2026. That is one kind of market, a bull run that turned into a correction. A long bear market or a very quiet year has not been tested, and the figures were not measured on the other names shown above. Trade fills were estimated from 5-minute price bars, not from every single trade. The credit-spread part has not been crash-tested: its worst case is a price gap straight through both strike prices, and the June 5 crash falls outside the study period. The +12% / 95% figures were measured on the study's own spread design, not specifically on same-day (0DTE) options. Past results are not a forecast, and nothing on this page is financial advice.

Rent the strategy, not the guesswork

Dealer’s Hand runs on the Loomi.Ai Desk: the live dealer positioning and the wall warning, kept up to date for you. The ranked same-day trade ladder and the losing-streak pause are still being built and are not live yet. Like every Loomi.Ai strategy, the results are public and the exact method stays private. You rent a system that is already running, not a file you have to maintain.

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The results are public. The recipes are not. Every strategy name is a Loomi.Ai brand, and the method behind it stays private and closed-source. See the full track record → and the Dealer’s Hand certificate →. Hypothetical, not a guarantee of future results, and not financial advice.

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